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agi timeline
2025-12-20
Predicts AGI will not be reached in 2026 or 2027.
«We won't get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).»
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agi timeline
2025-10-18
Sharp restatement: AGI is not imminent and LLMs are not the royal road to it.
«AGI is not imminent, and LLMs are not the royal road to getting there.»
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agi timeline
2025-06-07
After reasoning models fail, concludes treating LLMs as a direct route to AGI is self-deception.
«anybody who thinks LLMs are a direct route to AGI is kidding themselves»
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agi timeline
2025-01-01
Predicts AGI will not arrive in 2025, contrary to Elon Musk's claims.
«We will not see artificial general intelligence this year, despite claims by Elon Musk to the contrary.»
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agi timeline
2024-06-15
Argues LLMs on their own will never be AGI and scaling alone was never enough.
«LLMs are not AGI, and (on their own) never will be; scaling alone was never going to be enough.»
